Going into last weekend, Liverpool looked firm favorites to tie up their first Premier League title, and their first championship since the 1989-90 season. However, their home defeat to Chelsea on Sunday, coupled with Manchester City’s win over Crystal Palace has left the destination of the Premiership trophy in some doubt, with three teams in contention as we enter the final two weeks of the season.
Currently Liverpool still lead the way with a two point advantage over Chelsea and a three point lead over Manchester City, but City do have a game in hand and a better goal difference, which means the title is in City’s hands – if they win their three remaining games they will be crowned champions.
By analyzing the remaining fixtures, we can have a clearer picture of what might happen.
Starting with Liverpool, they have a tricky tie away to Crystal Palace followed by a home game against Newcastle. Liverpool would expect to win them both – however Palace have been massively impressive since Tony Pulis took charge, so this game is by no means a certain three points. Newcastle have been woeful of late, so you would expect three points here, but under the pressure cooker of final day nothing is certain.
Chelsea face Norwich at home and Cardiff away. Currently both of these teams are in the bottom three, and are fighting for their Premiership lives – but if both games go to form, you would expect Chelsea to gain maximum points, although a capacity crowd and fervent atmosphere could await them at the Cardiff City Stadium if Cardiff’s fate rests on the final day.
Manchester City play away at Everton, followed by home fixtures against Aston Villa and West Ham. You would expect City to win the two home games, however the game at Goodison Park is as tough as they come, especially considering Everton are fighting for fourth spot and a Champions League place.
The current outright betting has City as the 5/6 favorites, with Liverpool at a best price of 11/8 and Chelsea are straggling at a price of 16/1. Understandably, Chelsea are a much longer price, needing to win both their games and Liverpool and Manchester City to drop three points each in their remaining games.
Weekend Betting Moves
The key game in terms of betting this weekend will be the game at Goodison Park on Saturday evening – if City win, they will go heavy odds-on, if they draw or lose, Liverpool will become favorites again. Chelsea face Norwich on Sunday, and if they win as expected their price will be dictated by the result at Goodison Park, if they don’t win, they will surely be out of the race. Liverpool go to Palace on Monday night, and will either keep themselves in the race with a win, or become strong favorites for the title if City have dropped points.
It’s a weekend that promises many changes, and plenty of drama – who is your money on?