Why Season Long Premiership Bets are a Bad Idea

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Is Tying Up Your Cash In a Season-Long Bet Good Value?

English Premier LeagueSeason Long Premiership bets have been all the talk in recent years, especially when Leicester City upset the odds in such spectacular fashion when they landed the title at 5000/1 in 2015/16. The lucky punters must have been in dreamland but are season long bets such as these really a good thing? I’m not so sure.

Below I have looked at the question of whether it is really a good idea to tie up your cash for such a long time. Value is the next topic – with a look at the actual market itself and explain why you’re potentially placing a poor value bet. Moving on, I’ve covered the many unknowns you may encounter in these season long bets. At the end of this page you’ll find some solid alternatives to the (relatively) poor premiership season bets.

Why Season Long Premiership Bets are a Bad Idea – Tying up Cash

When you place a season long bet consider how long your money is tied up for. You might place the bet in early August for example and if you do manage to win, you won’t see any return till the start of May, a whole 9 months after you placed the bet. From the bookmaker’s point of view, this is fantastic. They’ll have your money for all that time and be able to invest it as they see fit. From your point of view, it’s simply gone. That money might have been used for other betting opportunities, might have grown in a savings account or might have been needed elsewhere (to take advantage of many great value betting opportunities along the way).

Whatever bets you make, it can pay to stick with a bookie that looks after their regular football bettors all season long. If you have not yet discovered European giants Unibet – then check them out next time you bet on a match. With apps (including a new challenge one), and offers every week, Unibet really do treat their loyal punters well. See the latest Premiership deals at www.unibet.com now!

Why Season Long Premiership Bets are a Bad Idea – Value

In any betting market there is a built in margin. On your average Premiership game you might find a bookmaker offering a margin of between 104% and 107%, which essentially means that they’ll expect to make a profit of between 4% and 7% on the given game. However, when you look at the season long markets, a different picture emerges.

A quick look at two renowned sportsbooks show one season long market with a 110% book and the other with a 113% book, meaning that the profit margin for the bookmakers is basically double on these season long markets. So not only do they have your cash for a long time, they are keeping it on a market where the odds are much more in their favour! A great win-win situation for the sportsbook and a lose-lose situation for those placing the bet.

Why Season Long Premiership Bets are a Bad Idea – Unpredictability

Unless you have a crystal ball, predicting the future is not an easy thing to do, especially the long term future. Do you really have any idea what the season might look like 4, 5, 6 or 7 months in? There are just so many intangibles that you just can’t predict.

The biggest one of these is perhaps injuries. You’ve placed that season long bet and three games in, the star striker breaks his leg and suddenly your bet looks anything but a good thing. At the opposite end of the spectrum, a particular team might be very lucky with injuries and be able to use virtually the same starting line-up again and again, this settled team performing much better than expected.

Transfers are also a big consideration. The summer transfer window doesn’t close till the season is a handful of games old and you’ve also got the winter transfer window to contend with. If you place the season long bet before the first game, you’re basically gambling on these windows – do you really know how much teams will have to spend when foreign investors are coming into English football with such regularity?

Unibet Sportsbetting Bonus

How about the managerial merry-go-round? You might look at the top teams in particular and think the managerial set up is pretty solid and will remain so, but it can be anything but. In August 2015 you wouldn’t have dreamed that Jose Mourinho, the manager of champions of Chelsea would be gone long before Christmas of the same year. You might have a team tagged as certainties for relegation too. A good example might be Sunderland in 2015/16 under Dick Advocaat, who had only just avoided relegation the previous year. Having backed the team for relegation you would have been pretty confident when they had gained just 2 points from the first 7 games and were rooted to the bottom of the table. However, when the club appointed Sam Allardyce in October, you might have been concerned and rightly so, as he turned the club around and they avoided relegation with a game to spare.

Each of these factors listed above are real intangibles and make these long term bets anything but predictable. Why not take this uncertainty out and stick to shorter term bets, where these intangibles are not so clear cut.

Alternatives to Season-Long Premiership Bets

Betting the Totals in Soccer

So what if you think a particular team will have a better than expected season? Why not get involved in a game by game basis? If you wanted to back a team to win the league in a season long bet and they did go on to win the league, you’ll still make your money betting on a game by game basis (consider most teams that win the league will need to win at least 25 of their 38 games), while if one of those intangibles listed above happens, then you can easily get out.

Betting this way, instead of your money being tied up by the sportsbook, it will be yours and if the season is successful you’ll find the sportsbook’s money is in your account throughout the 9 months of the season.

Why Season Long Premiership Bets are a Bad Idea – Overview

With so much unpredictably, lower odds being offered than usual and the fact that your money is tied up for so long, it’s pretty clear why these season long bets are a bad idea. Stick to the shorter term and you’ll be in a much better position to make informed judgements about each and every game, instead of having to peer through the fog of a future that is many months away.

Whatever bets you make, it can pay to stick with a bookie that looks after their regular football bettors all season long. If you have not yet discovered European giants Unibet – then check them out next time you bet on a match. With apps (including a new challenge one), and offers every week, Unibet really do treat their loyal punters well. See the latest Premiership deals at www.unibet.com now!

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